McCain Is in Deep Trouble if He Thinks He's Going to Win Wisconsin; Leaves Michigan
Long time Wisconsin and Midwest election activists were shocked to see McCain pull out Republican Party ads and staff from Michigan. But, even more shocking, was word they're moving people and money to Wisconsin. Let me go out on a limb here: barring some huge change, there is no way McCain is going to win here in Wisconsin. Numerous polls here, here and here back me on this...but this has more to do with my recent travels across the state.
I have never seen more signs in corn-fields for a Democratic Presidential candidate since 1968. Farmers just don't seem to like McCain--his opposition to ethanol and the recent crash in commodity prices probably accounts for this fact. It's the same problem McCain has in Iowa, where he's also way down. A Republican can't win this state without winning farmers and rural areas by huge margins.
Further, history is on our side. Wisconsin has gone Democratic in every election since 1988. Our moderate Democratic Governor Jim Doyle is still popular, as well as long time Senators Kohl and Feingold. Democrats have won every hard fought statewide race in recent years-except for State Attorney General and State Supreme Court races where lobby groups have poured in tons of money. Obama has plenty of money and a great organization here. We (and I do mean we) have registered thousands of new voters.
And the public sentiment here is as raw and energized as I can recall since I was a pre-teen in the Vietnam War days. Yesterday I went into a gas station on the rural fringe of Dane County--not liberal Madison by any stretch. The clerk was railing about the economy, the cost of gas and how much things have gotten worse under Bush. "Clinton had a surplus but it took them about 15 minutes to run through that."
Another man approached: if I had to guess I would have pegged him as more conservative. "No, it was more like a year and a half," the man said. "Took 'em that long to get it out to their rich buddies." Two more people piped up approvingly.
"Well, no third term with McCain," your correspondent added.
"Oh hell no, " the salty older clerk replied. There were nods and laughs all around.
I have never seen more signs in corn-fields for a Democratic Presidential candidate since 1968. Farmers just don't seem to like McCain--his opposition to ethanol and the recent crash in commodity prices probably accounts for this fact. It's the same problem McCain has in Iowa, where he's also way down. A Republican can't win this state without winning farmers and rural areas by huge margins.
Further, history is on our side. Wisconsin has gone Democratic in every election since 1988. Our moderate Democratic Governor Jim Doyle is still popular, as well as long time Senators Kohl and Feingold. Democrats have won every hard fought statewide race in recent years-except for State Attorney General and State Supreme Court races where lobby groups have poured in tons of money. Obama has plenty of money and a great organization here. We (and I do mean we) have registered thousands of new voters.
And the public sentiment here is as raw and energized as I can recall since I was a pre-teen in the Vietnam War days. Yesterday I went into a gas station on the rural fringe of Dane County--not liberal Madison by any stretch. The clerk was railing about the economy, the cost of gas and how much things have gotten worse under Bush. "Clinton had a surplus but it took them about 15 minutes to run through that."
Another man approached: if I had to guess I would have pegged him as more conservative. "No, it was more like a year and a half," the man said. "Took 'em that long to get it out to their rich buddies." Two more people piped up approvingly.
"Well, no third term with McCain," your correspondent added.
"Oh hell no, " the salty older clerk replied. There were nods and laughs all around.
posted by Faithful Progressive at 12:23 PM
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