Obama Surging in Latest Zogby Poll on Eve of Super Tuesday
Upsets are in the air, and Sen. Obama is on the verge of winning more delegates than Sen. Clinton tomorrow in the primary Super Bowl.
Zogby:
“On the Democratic side, California, Missouri and New Jersey are so close. Obama’s lead in California is by virtue of solid support in the Bay Area and among Independents (by 20 points), men (20 points), 18-29 year olds (31 points), very liberal voters (22 points), and African Americans (75%-14%). Clinton does well among women (11 points) and among Hispanics (64%-29%).
In Missouri, Obama has solid leads in the St. Louis region (16 points), with Independents (7 points), young voters (16 points), and African Americans (62%-26%). He also leads among moderates and men. Clinton leads in Kansas City (7 points), in the Southwest (16 points), and among liberals (8 points), women (5 points), and among voters over 65 (25 points).
“Obama leads in both Northern and Southern New Jersey, among men, and among African Americans (74%16%), while Clinton again holds Hispanics (19 points), whites (10 points), moderates (8 points), liberals (8 points), Jews (22 points), women (9 points), and voters over 65.
“It is all about delegates and these numbers suggest that both candidates get respectable votes and a lot of delegates.” (snip)
California Democrats
1-31/2-2
Clinton: 41%
Obama: 45%
Undecided: 15%
Sample: 1,141 likely voters
Margin of error: +/- 2.9 percentage points
Zogby:
“On the Democratic side, California, Missouri and New Jersey are so close. Obama’s lead in California is by virtue of solid support in the Bay Area and among Independents (by 20 points), men (20 points), 18-29 year olds (31 points), very liberal voters (22 points), and African Americans (75%-14%). Clinton does well among women (11 points) and among Hispanics (64%-29%).
In Missouri, Obama has solid leads in the St. Louis region (16 points), with Independents (7 points), young voters (16 points), and African Americans (62%-26%). He also leads among moderates and men. Clinton leads in Kansas City (7 points), in the Southwest (16 points), and among liberals (8 points), women (5 points), and among voters over 65 (25 points).
“Obama leads in both Northern and Southern New Jersey, among men, and among African Americans (74%16%), while Clinton again holds Hispanics (19 points), whites (10 points), moderates (8 points), liberals (8 points), Jews (22 points), women (9 points), and voters over 65.
“It is all about delegates and these numbers suggest that both candidates get respectable votes and a lot of delegates.” (snip)
California Democrats
1-31/2-2
Clinton: 41%
Obama: 45%
Undecided: 15%
Sample: 1,141 likely voters
Margin of error: +/- 2.9 percentage points



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